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What Really Happened in Birmingham 2026?

By Arich Knaub

From 10th to 1st* in the first East/West Showdown of the year, Haiden Deegan is the king of the 250 class right now. You already know; he was docked one position for cutting the split lane. Penalty aside, let’s look at the ride. It was unreal.

Not many riders go from 10th to 1st in any race. Doing it in a 15-min. Showdown is a different level. How did he pull it off?

Decisiveness and consistency.

Two words that didn’t really fit Deegan a couple years ago now define him. And the data backs it up.

He passes with intent. No sitting behind riders. No waiting, no hesitation. By the time you notice he’s there, the move is already done and he’s gone. That’s the first half the story. The other half is what he does every lap.

Lap Times for Top 4 250 Riders

*Using Unofficial Finish for Sorting Purposes

Look at this closely. On outright speed, Deegan and Cole Davies are basically even. Just 0.01 separated their fastest laps. Both are clearly faster than the rest of the field. It’s the average lap where things separate. Deegan is the only rider under a 54-second average.

But the real story is the 75%.

Deegan put 75% of his laps under 54 seconds. No one could match that. They all dipped into the 55s more often. Deegan had consistency where others simply did not.

But why do other riders have slow laps in the front? Well… those slower laps usually show up when riders are battling. Getting stuck. Missing lines. Losing rhythm. Deegan simply doesn’t deal with that. He passed everyone decisively, fast, and with intent.

Now here’s where it gets interesting.

Haiden Deegan Total Time Advantage Over Cole Davies

Deegan wasn’t faster everywhere. In fact, Cole Davies was better across most of the track.

  • Deegan gained 8.6 seconds in the split lane
  • Davies gained 5.9 seconds on the rest of the track

Let that sink in.

Davies actually had the edge on the majority of the lap. But Deegan made it all back, and more, in one section. The same split lane that got him penalized. And to put into perspective 8.6 seconds over a 15-minute + 1 lap main event. That is just shy of 0.5s per lap.

But the impact of the penalty is marginal at best. Sure it snapped Deegan’s win streak. But take a step back, and there is no denying Deegan proving “he is Him” (as he would say) in the class. The only real winner on paper from Deegan’s penalty was Davies. He gained crucial championship points over Jo Shimoda and Seth Hammaker.

Alec Gaut (@alecgaut) – Haiden Deegan Passing Cole Davies in Birmingham