The 2026 Fast Power Index, In Season RD03.
By
Welcome to the We Went Fast Fast Power Index (FPI), a performance-based rating on a rider’s skills and how they’re trending over the last 4 rounds. It’s not a prediction model (we see you RC!) or a championship standings replacement. It’s a power ranking designed to measure a rider’s current competitive strength.
Built for fans to bench race and for team managers to evaluate talent, the FPI reduces everything to a single number–backed by detailed on-track performance data. No practice track rumors. No social buzz. Just facts.
Special thanks to my co-conspirator Arich Knaub. In addition to being a good friend and great father, he’s a data scientist and engineer and helped with a chunk of the behind-the-scenes work.
450 FPI Rankings
Be sure to read What Really Happened? to understand the what actually went down at Anaheim 2 last weekend.
Important Footnotes:
- In-season FPI will ultimately be based on the last 4 rounds of performances.
- "Starts" include individual Triple Crown Races. There are 23 gate drops per 17-rd. season.
Top 25 (Thru 3 Rounds)
*slide table left to reveal more info.
- Eli Tomac now has one ‘miscue’ – he qualified 7th and was only 7th fastest in the heats at A2. Frankly, he didn’t look as comfortable on the bike at A1 and San Diego the previous two weeks, but come the main event he rounded lap 1 in 5th, was 2nd fastest in the main, and got his 3rd podium of the season. He’s no longer a near perfect 98 but he’s still top of the FPI.
- Chase Sexton is averaging 7.3 position on the 1st lap. That’s the result of 8th and 12th at the first two rounds. He was 2nd this past weekend at A2 and used his 2nd ranked main event speed this season to take the win.
- Cooper Webb looked much better this weekend, but the devil’s in the details. He was 11th fastest in qualifying (worst of the season), 8th fastest in the heat (best of the season but still so-so), 8th on the 1st lap of the main (he got pinched off), and set the 6th fastest lap of the main (exact same as the first two rounds). He’s 1 of 3 defending champions in the history of the sport to not podium in the first 3 rounds the next season. But folks, if there’s any rider where the phrase “Lies, damned lies, and statistics” is relevant, it’s the 3x Supercross champion Cooper Webb. He’s been on the ground in 5 of 6 heat races + main events.
Better Times Ahead
- Aaron Plessinger has finished 10-7-22 and sits 11th in the points, but the FPI ranks him 8th and with good reason. He’s shown the 7th best speed in the mains.
450 FPI Key Stats Leaders
- Main Event Fastest: Eli Tomac average 1.7 rank
- Main Event 1st Lap Position: Hunter Lawrence average 2.3
- Podiums: Eli Tomac (3)
- Heat Race Fastest: Ken Roczen average 2.7 rank
- Qualifying Fastest: Chase Sexton average 2.7 rank
250 FPI Rankings
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Important Footnotes:
- In-season FPI will ultimately be based on the last 4 rounds of performances.
- "Starts" include individual Triple Crown Races. There are 23 gate drops per 17-rd. season.
Top 26
- Haiden Deegan has delivered nearly unmatched speed this season. He’s been fastest qualifier 2 of 3 rounds, fastest overall in the heats all 3 rounds, and fastest in the main 2 of 3 times. No surprise he moves up 2 spots to top the FPI after 3 rounds. The only weakness is 1st lap position (12-3-4). His competition best hope he doesn’t start uncorking holeshots!
Better Times Ahead
- Levi Kitchen is averaging 18th on the 1st lap – 24th ranked (or 27). But he’s had 2nd best qualifying speed, 2nd best heat speed, and 3rd best main event speed. It’s just a matter of time till he’s up front.
- Keep an eye on Parker Ross. The sophomore is steadying improving across all FPI stats. He’s started inside the top 10 the last two rounds and showed top 10 speed for the first time this last week at A2.
450 FPI Key Stats Leaders
- Main Event Fastest: Haiden Deegan average 2.0
- Main Event 1st Lap Position: Cameron McAdoo average 2.3
- Podiums: Deegan/Michael Mosiman/Ryder DiFrancesco with 2 each
- Heat Race Fastest: Deegan average 1.0 rank
- Qualifying Fastest: Deegan average 1.3 rank
Glossary of Terms
Here’s a quick cheat sheet on definitions.
Speed Metrics
- Main Fast Avg. – This is the average fastest lap rank in a main event.
- Heat Fast Avg. – This is the average fastest lap rank in heat races.
- Qualifying Avg. – This is the average qualifying rank.
Start Metrics
- 1st Lap Pos. – This is the average position when crossing the finish line for the first time.
Results
- Podiums – The count of top 3 finishes.
- Starts – The number of times they started a race, either a main event or a triple crown race.
- Race Minus – This is a race where a rider loses positions between the 1st lap and the finish. Typically represents when a rider has made a mistake. That said, it can also highlight riders where they are great starters but don’t have the speed to maintain position. In either case, it’s not optimal.
About the Fast Power Index (FPI)
Welcome to the We Went Fast Fast Power Index (FPI), a performance-based rating built from race results, context, and trend analysis. It’s not a prediction model (we see you RC!) or a championship standings replacement. It’s a power ranking designed to measure current competitive strength.
The FPI is a ranking of the best riders, based on performance, not hype, reputation or last year’s points.
This In-Season FPI will ultimately measure the a riders competitive strength over the last 4 rounds (the first three will be thin on data). Built for fans to bench race and for team managers to evaluate talent, the FPI reduces everything to a single number–backed by detailed on-track performance data. No practice track rumors. No social buzz. Just facts.
The In-season FPI (same as the Pre-season FPI) considers:
- Recent race results
- Win and podium frequency
- Finish quality: where results came from, not just raw position
- Race craft: includes qualifying, mains, individual Triple Crown races and East/West Showdowns
FPI does not assume improvement, decline, or “new bike magic.” Those things may happen, but they have to be proven on the track before the numbers move.
Special thanks to my co-conspirator Arich Knaub. In addition to being a good friend and great father, he’s a data scientist and engineer and helped with a chunk of the behind-the-scenes work.