2026 National Number Projections
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Welcome to our favorite feature of the year, one that riders hit us up for about this time, when Pro Motocross takes a breather and it’s possible to get an accurate prediction on next year’s riding numbers.
Before you scroll further, we’re not the AMA but we’ve studied the rulebook and have applied the rules as stated. Here’s what sticks out for us…
- The ONLY rider in position to POTENTIALLY earn a career number is Garrett Marchbanks. We have him projected to finish 11th in total points, just one position shy of selecting a career number!
- Our projection has him finishing just five points behind Malcolm Stewart.
Projected 2026 National Numbers
IMPORTANT: * = Career Number and ** = New Career Number
Reminder: all columns can be filtered by tapping black column headers
More Key Movements
- The new 22 will likely be Jordon Smith.
- Coty Schock jumps up to #23, while Julien Beaumer slips to #26
- Jorge Prado…
- What about #9?! We have an inquiry out to the retired Adam Cianciarulo to find out if he will use his 1 petition to keep #9 for one more year. We can’t imagine that’d be the case, but you just never know.
Defending 2025 Champions
- Cooper Webb will run #1 in 450 Supercross
- Haiden Deegan can run #1 in 250 West Supercross
- Tom Vialle has pointed out of the 250 class and won’t be able to run the #1 in 250 East Supercross
- Projected: Haiden Deegan is rumored to be racing the 450 class next year and would not get to run #1 in 250 Pro Motocross
- Projected: Jett Lawrence will run #1 in 450 Pro Motocross
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First Time Double Digit Numbers
18 riders earn their first double digit number, which is up from 15 new riders last year.
- Mikkel Harrup (#107), Cole Davies (#100), Dylan Walsh (#101), Parker Ross (#302), Valentin Guillod (#992), Benoit Paturel (#102), Avery Long (#134), Jack Chambers (#192), Tony Carioli (#222), Kayden Minear (#106), Jack Chambers (#192), Gavin Towers (#115), Enzo Temmerman (#201), Izaih Clark (#682), Alexander Fedortsov (#784), Brad West (#334), Mason Semmens (#196)
Double Digit Again
- Enzo Lopes, Lance Kobusch, Kevin Moranz, Dylan Walsh, Justin Rodbell, Luke Neese, Justin Starling, and John Short return to double digit numbers for 2026.
Now, if you’re like me, you need an annual refresher on how this all works. Here’s the scoop, found on page 56 under 2.4.14 COMPETITION NUMBERS of the 2025 AMA Supercross Rulebook.
- #1-99 are reserved for riders who’ve earned the most points in the previous season, but before double digit numbers are tabulated.
- Riders who finish in the top 10 in Championship points from the combined 450SX, 250SX, 450MX and 250MX classes from the previous competition year will have priority for the selection of a National two-digit available number for their career number.
- After the top 10 in championship points have selected, the class champions from the 250SX Eastern and Western Regional Divisions may select a National two digit available number for their career number.
- Only past 450SX, 450MX and 250MX Champions from the previous competition year may choose a permanent single-digit career number, if available.
- Riders who fail to earn at least 25 championship points during the season preceding the new season will lose their career number and be issued a new number based on current points. Riders may appeal one season.
- Ties are decided by (1) raced both SX and MX or (2) best main or moto finish (until it’s broken).
Remember, we’re not the AMA and therefore not the official source (but we did have it correct last year and available many weeks earlier).